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This year has been the deadliest in the war for U.S. forces. At least 480 American troops have been killed, compared to 317 last year and 155 in 2008.Unlike the [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] U.S. role in Iraq, a war that Obama opposed and is drawing to a close, the Afghan conflict has become a defining part of his presidency. He sees it as vital to American security and has tripled the number of U.S. forces there since he took office. Yet only a minority of Americans now support the war in Afghanistan, and Obama's success or failure in delivering credible, effective leadership in that fight will affect his re-election bid.Obama has stressed that the scale and pace of U.S. troop withdrawals starting in July 2011 depend on conditions on the ground, meaning mostly the level of extremist violence, the degree of improvement in the Afghan army and police and the capacity of the Afghan government to provide basic services.
Obama's top national security aides insisted, however, that while tough challenges remain, there is progress toward the goal of handing over control to the Afghan government by the end of 2014.Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who recently returned [link widoczny dla zalogowanych] from Afghanistan, said at the White House that he saw more progress than he had expected. And he suggested that it can be difficult for those who viewing the war from Washington to grasp how it is unfolding on the ground."The sense of progress among those closest to the fight is palpable," Gates said.
He has never said exactly how many U.S. troops will come home next year nor set a timetable for getting all 100,000 out of Afghanistan by the [link widoczny dla zalogowanych]end of 2014, when combat operations are to end. Gates made clear that such calculations are yet to be made."I think the answer is, we don't know at this point," Gates said, adding, "But the hope is that as we progress, that those drawdowns will be able to accelerate."One reason that any U.S. troop withdrawals next summer are likely to be small is that as Afghan forces assume control in selected districts and provinces, the U.S. and NATO troops they replace will be moved to other, less secure areas.
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